New York Giants: Over 7 (-134) to Over 5. 1. Sharp NFL bettors monitor the point spreads throughout the week leading up to games. Instantly locate the best sports betting lines and odds. 5, Giants 17. m. 25 Jacoby Brissett and the Browns passing game came back to earth in Week 4, and that's. Those identical records were despite a -15 point differential for New Orleans and a -61 point differential for the Titans. Week 2: 141. Given the strong correlation between implied totals and fantasy success, players on the following teams could consider being faded, especially if they are likely to carry elevated roster percentage in tournaments. Download App. Sea Avg (Season Average) – The average. Total: 44. Eagles Implied Total moved +2 pts. Listen Fantasy. ET, CBS . Odds. Bills - 29. Nick Giffen: Predictive Analyst at Action Network Mo Alie-Cox (3,400 DraftKings; $4,800 FanDuel) (GPP) People love using implied team totals to find running back value in DFS, but that’s exactly where I look to pivot to the tight end position in tournaments. 4 – An up-tempo spot worth game stacking in DFS in multiple ways. 5 points). Win Total: over 10. Given the strong correlation between implied totals and fantasy success, players on the following teams could consider being faded, especially if they are likely to carry elevated roster percentage in tournaments. NFL Picks. 9. While our Draft Kit is built for competitive fantasy players, we’ve made it fun and easy to consume. The Saints' win total is two higher in the market than that of the Titans, while the Falcons' win total is one higher than that of the Panthers. MORE: Early NFL Week 4 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread. October 10, 2023. Other odds, including the spreads and moneylines, will likely shift as the season gets underway. For example, successfully hitting a. The Pittsburgh Steelers are favored by 1. Spread. The more we can contextualize in-season data and adjust it for the situation and opponent, the better. It might not be the most inspiring week of offense we've seen. San Francisco 49ers (-3. Also like what happens every year, the Detroit Lions kick off the festivities. We are looking at the NFL DFS main slate for FanDuel and DraftKings on Sunday,. 5: 48. Yahoo Rostership%: 70% Vegas Odds: KC favored by 9 Over/Under (Total Points): 44. October 3, 2023. Still, we have five teams this year yet to hit their implied total in any game: Carolina Panthers: 0-3, -10. NFL Week 5 odds are available at online sportsbooks. He's been leaving draft rooms with the best team on paper since 1998, and his knowledge of football, golf, and the NBA has helped him to leverage sportsbooks, fantasy leagues, and DFS ever since. That leaves fewer obvious games to build around, and the obvious option is LAC-MIN. Jaguars - 26. Braxton Jones OL • CHI. Implied totals: 49ers 27. Total Points: Odds: Analyst: Cardinals @ Commanders: Under 40. 5. San Francisco 49ers - 10/23/2022. 5 points for the Baltimore Ravens. Welcome to my 2023 NFL Win Total Calculator, which I used to make my NFL picks for 2023 season win totals. Therefore, those teams do not have data. Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills: 47. This week is weird because there are no betting lines for two games: Texans/Vikings and Titans/Steelers. Decimal odds show the total amount that can be won, including the original stake. Up to $1,000 on Caesars. 5; Chiefs, Lions - 27. The Saints held off the Bears in Week 9 to move to 5-4 on the season. NFL Target, Touch, Red Zone, & Snap Count Leaders broken down by specific weeks or the whole season. 25; Niners - 26. m. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 15. Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6. 22%) implied total of hitting the over using the Proptimizer. There's nothing quite like Week 1 of the NFL season. 5. Line: Chargers -3; 47. 2021 NFL Early Lines Week 17. Totals: 7616: 6295: 1071: 25853: 179: 1708: 1321: 9690: 47: 4886:. View updated NFL Week 6 odds below and compare prices. This shows the implied point total and other Vegas information for this week’s NFL games. 5. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). 5 on the road against the Chiefs +2. 33; Cleveland Browns: 1-5, -3. The total there is 50. J. The Bills, Bengals and Chiefs have among the highest implied totals of the day, so the sportsbooks don't seem too deterred by their dismal Week 1 showings. 51:10. 25; Miami Dolphins: 1-4, -9. 75, Steelers 16. Sunday, 1:00 p. 00, a $100 bet would yield a total of $200 if successful, including the initial $100 stake. Cardinals-Browns Week 9 preview with Max Loeb. Buccaneers -140; Cowboys +115. 5. LAC Austin Ekeler +460. There are a handful of other teams with double-digit NFL win totals 2023, including the 49ers (10. In other words, NFL Week 4 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Week 1 NFL game and team totals and over/unders to bet on DraftKings sportsbook. Washington and New Orleans will enter their Week 5 matchup with 2-2 records after alternating wins and losses over the opening four weeks of the season. Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 2: 31st (at PHI), Week 3: 26th (vs. 2023 NFL Predictions: AFC East. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. All statistics are courtesy of Pro Football Reference . Tennessee has played two tight games so far. 5 (Buffalo to win by more than 6. m. Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Created 3 years ago, Last Updated 3 years ago. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 2. Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets. Here then are the most important matchups for Week 1, starting with the NFL’s opening game of the season in Kansas City. 5. 45 percent. CT. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week. 1 day ago · That makes Dillon a low-upside start in Week 12. Chargers at Browns. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 2 and beyond. Spread: Commanders , Falcons ; Moneyline: Commanders , Falcons ; The Washington Commanders lost their third straight game, dropping to 2-3 with a 40-20 loss to the Bears on Thursday night. 5. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are -4. Daily Fantasy. 1. Current NFL Week 3 Odds and Lines. Take the halved point spread and add that number to the favored team (Chargers) and subtract that number from the underdog (Dolphins). 44. Updated NCAAF odds from top ranked sportsbooks, including money lines, spreads, totals and futuresNFL Survivor picks have become one of the most popular gambling options for fans in recent years. In other words, NFL Week 18 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. 75, Packers 22. In cash games, it likely makes the most sense to look elsewhere. It might not be the most inspiring week of offense we've seen. Cowboys @ Giants UNDER 47. 5) and Bills (10. The ideal outcome for Fantasy sees this one turning into a shootout with both. In a game we feel is 50-50, give us the team priced with an implied win probability of 45. The NFL is back! If you are new to RotoGrinders and/or to the NFL First Look, welcome. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 15 and beyond. The Chargers have allowed the eighth-most fantasy. Lamar Jackson loves the bright lights, and the Ravens star quarterback has a 13-4 record as a starter in. 64 total);. 25 points). NFL DFS First Look: Week 1 - Odds and Matchup Preview. New this week, I have included each game's over/under. You might think you know what's going to happen in the 2023 NFL. NFL DFS First Look: Week 1 Odds and Matchup Preview. Here are the spreads that have changed the most. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 4 and. 5 O/U Implied totals: Chargers 25. Utilize metrics like success rate and. Similarly, the totals for a. An implied win probability of 99% would be presented as -9900, 1. NFL Week 2 over/unders (point totals): Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles: 48. Implied totals: Ravens 18. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 1: Main Slate Only. Sharps and newbies alike take their shots and hope to. 75; Lions. Play ESPN's Pigskin Win Totals for FREE and make your picks. WR Alec Pierce vs. Minnesota Vikings Moneyline: +130. New York Giants Moneyline: +124. 28. Only the Chiefs vs. 5-point favorites with a 26-point implied team total. Day/Time: Sunday, Sept. On the season, the NFL is 86-94 when it comes to hitting implied team totals. Kansas City Chiefs — 11. NFL Week 1 Total Points Best Bets. There are plenty of teams with high implied point totals, though not many are projected to be close. Implied totals: Dolphins 26. Moneyline. Up to $1,000 on Caesars. Total: 36. The goal of this article each week. Tony Pollard , 55. Position (DvP) Matchups. 10, 1 p. (72. Giants at Commanders Week 11 Odds. Sports Betting. 27. Instead of projecting an outright winner and loser in all 272 regular-season games, I've assigned a. m. bogarted 21% of the designed rushing attempts after adjusting for games missed — that was good for top-three in the NFL, and the Eagles have the No. Chargers- 27. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Myles Garrett will force Tyrod Taylor to put his speed to good use. 5 total game but with a payout -325 or something have a higher implied team total than a team at -1. Sam Darnold’s solid early season numbers appear to be an opponent- and situation-driven mirage. Three teams this year have hit their implied total in only one game. All three teams were in the top 4 in implied point totals, and they all finished UNDER. PHI ($4,900) Week 1 of the NFL 2023 schedule is finally here and FanDuel sportsbook is offering new bettors a chance to kick off the season with a win. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 324 yards with three TDs and one INT. Last year, Westgate blessed us with spreads and totals for every regular-season game, allowing us to reverse-engineer betting market power rankings to see how bookmakers evaluated each. However, with a reasonable value of 10. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 14 and. NFL Week 4 over/unders (point totals): Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers: 44. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 18. In this instance, a $20 bet on New Orleans would net you $7. NFL DFS tournaments are all about finding ceiling performance from players in our lineup. 5. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Follow Notorious on Twitter! The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, DVOA rankings and each team’s projected. This week also marks the first international contest of the 2023-24 season. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 11 and beyond. Below, we share all the NFL odds this week and NFL Week 12 betting lines regarding the spread at BetMGM Sportsbook: Thursday, November 23: Green Bay Packers +7. Live pro football spreads, moneylines, and totals. 5) New York Giants Moneyline: +360. He has the highest ceiling projection in both FantasyLabs and THE BLITZ projections, and the. 5 implied points), and both offenses operate at a quick pace, which means the over is a good bet. Here then are the most important matchups for Week 1, starting with the NFL’s opening game of the season in Kansas City. PHI ($4,900) Week 1 of the NFL 2023 schedule is finally here and FanDuel sportsbook is offering new. 25;Over/Under Points Total: Over 55 (-110), Under 55 (-110) Implied Point Totals: Seahawks 28, Vikings 27. Lions at Chiefs. Game Info & Starting Lineup Implied Team Totals Best Defense vs. Last year, Westgate. Both the Seahawks and the Vikings put up 30+ points against their respective opponents in Week 2, and it wouldn’t come as a huge surprise if the same happened when they meet in Minnesota during Week 3. 25. This does not necessarily mean these are automatically the best games to stack. Taylor Heinicke led an impressive fourth-quarter comeback to help Washington past the Atlanta. Giants at Commanders Week 11 Odds. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. Team Win Total Record; Arizona Cardinals: 8. NFL DFS tournaments are all about finding ceiling performance from players in our lineup. The Chiefs are the biggest Week 16 favorite, as they’re favored by 9. MIA Tyreek Hill +420. In order to maximize upside and correlation, we can use Vegas totals and game lines to help us identify game environments that may help produce these ceiling performances we’re looking for in GPPs. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 11: Main Slate Only. Both teams are pace up and both sport team implied totals of 25+. Get the best NFL Week 12 odds this week. Despite Mattison clearing concussion protocol last week, Chandler still. NFL DFS First Look: Week 1 . Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. Chiefs- 30. 5. Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts projects to be a top value, priced at a discounted $6,800 on DraftKings for Week 1. Taylor Heinicke led an impressive fourth-quarter comeback to help Washington. NFL Tools Menu. Sunday, 1 p. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). 5), Thursday at 7:20 p. Home; Models See full list on thelines. Miami Dolphins - 10/24/2022. 5 total team points. Total: 37. 4 percent target share for the. Spread. 5. TB - Could be the Covid outbreak on coaching staff Browns vs. 1 rushing SOS matchup as well. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. The Jacksonville Jaguars head to New Orleans to take on the New Orleans Saints on Thursday to kick off Week 7 of the NFL season. The Bills and Chiefs have one of the highest projected totals of the year, and since the market expects a close battle — — that means, by extension, both teams have high implied team totals. 2022 NFL Win Totals: Tracking NFL Win Totals Entering Week 18. Our team of analysts, led by Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, create unmatched content and rankings to make sure you’re ready for draft day. Chargers - 26. Week 6 featured many low-scoring games, averaging only 36. Dolphins- 27. m. Checking NFL early lines each week gives prospective football bettors a solid idea of trends that the sportsbooks and the public will enact for that week’s action. Utilize metrics like success rate and explosive play rates over total yards and points against. The week began with the Chicago Bears beating the Carolina Panthers but not covering the 3. The Colts took a hit this week (although not by much - they are tied for the 8th highest implied point total) while the Cowboys remain at the top. Spread: 49ers (-3. These scores are ranked 1-5 with five indicating the pace of the play is everything you want for a DFS bonanza. 5 covers) Moneylines: Bills -275 to win (bet $10 to win $13. Sep 27, 2023, 12:36 AM EDT. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 18 and. See odds, totals and spreads for every NFL Week 2 game. 5 points. The Lions host Green Bay and the. San Francisco 49ers (-950) Buffalo Bills (-150) New York Giants (+105) If all five teams win outright, you can win $523. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 3: Main Slate Only. Point spread: Bills -6. 7 points scored before Monday Night Football was played. Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars: 43. NFL Week 16 implied team totals show that the Bucs are still expected to be among the highest-scoring teams despite a slew of injuries. Tampa has two aging star receivers mixed with untested youth at TE and RB. The Implied Strength metrics are effectively win total based power rankings adjusted for both market hold and strength of schedule. 30:58. 529 hours, 9 minutes. Here are the latest 2024 NFL championship futures for all 32 teams, available at top NFL betting apps. NFL Week 1 DraftKings Odds, Implied Totals, Spreads, and Over/Under *All lines current as of 11:30 PM ET, 9/6/23, courtesy of Vegas Insider * NFL Week 1 Survivor Picks Baltimore Ravens. PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11 Sunday Night Slate (November 19, 2023). Up to $1,000 on Caesars. Just look at the lines for Week 1, which features three games where the home team is a three-point favorite, per SportsLine consensus: Titans at Saints, Panthers at Falcons, and Dolphins at Chargers. Dallas vs. Lowest NFL Week 2 Implied Team Totals. In other words, NFL Week 15 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . m. Sunday late afternoon Broncos at Chargers (-5. m. Detroit Lions Regular Season Wins. 5482 episodes. In other words, NFL Week 11 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . m. This does not necessarily mean these are automatically the best games to stack. com. 5 (-150), who have the league’s best record at 8-1. 9 yards per play. The market appears skeptical the Texans can repeat their offensive success. or decimals. 2. In order to maximize upside and correlation, we can use Vegas totals and game lines to help us identify game environments that may help produce these ceiling performances we’re looking for in GPPs. Implied totals: 49ers 20. Our experts are already breaking down the NFL Week 4 odds board, with some of them running their numbers to find value in any matchups. The Colts lost to the Giants in Week 17. The Dolphins (-10 on the spread) are between -550 and -425 on the moneyline (Best Live Odds:) in this matchup. Click. Bears’ Braxton Jones regrets. All NFL Week 10 odds and lines are current as of 8 p. In other words, NFL Week 13 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . QB: Kirk. NFL Week 10 Implied Team Totals: Cowboys Top Expected Points Despite Blowout Loss. 5 total team points — our first True Score loss. Bet $10 on NFL, Get $200 in. 75 points, the Los Angeles Chargers are in the game of the week against the Miami Dolphins. All NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 9:00 p. Includes updated point spreads, money lines and totals lines. The Cleveland. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. Fractional odds display the potential profit relative to the stake. 5 points (25 points implied for the Jaguars, 23. Don’t trust any particular projection system? We combine projections from all major fantasy football sites into a consensus. 91 units, with the Browns–Jets game going well over 39. 5. We end Week 5 on Sunday Night Football in the Bay Area. Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon have not placed any bets for Week 4 yet, but you can use their data as you please. m. Over/Under, and implied total points score information to start your betting off right. Arizona Cardinals: 1-5, -3. 01 or 1/99. MLB. His 466 passing yards are the third-most in a Week 1 game in the. Unders are 63-40-1 (61. ET on Sunday,. NFL Football Week 2 odds and betting lines. 5. Below you’ll find player prop odds for every NFL game in Week 7. NFL Week 10 Weather Conditions (Fantasy Football) The Fantasy Footballers Podcast Recap – Week 10. Revisiting how PFF turnover-worthy plays can help you bet NFL interception props. Other standouts include the Lions, 49ers, Chargers, Cowboys and Jaguars, all of whom were more impressive in the opening game. Chargers- 27. , Sept. For example, if the odds are 2. The Atlanta Falcons and Jacksonville Jaguars will play at Wembley Stadium in London at 9:30 a. The Browns took a beating from the KC offense, but the Chiefs and Texans are worlds apart in offensive talent level. But even possibly when he does. The Lions host Green Bay and the Cowboys host Washington in their traditional. All odds are via Caesars Sportsbook. C. 5 at the Houston Texans +5. Schedule for 2021 NFL season on a weekly and team basis as well as strength of schedule (SOS), fantasy football SOS and grid of bye weeks. Spread: Eagles -3 (-120), Lions +3 (+100) Over/Under Points Total: Over 48. Cardinals-Browns Week 9 preview, picks and prop bets. Below is a full list of the best available Week 8 odds. 5: 10-6:. NFL DFS tournaments are all about finding ceiling performance from players in our lineup. Of course, their defense looked equally vulnerable. ET. Ryan Belongia analyzes the Week 5 DraftKings slate as Tyler Lockett continues to be. DAL Tony Pollard +470. In other words, NFL Week 1 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Constantly trying to find an edge,. The action kicks off on Thursday with one of the larger. m. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 11 and. 5 points. Read the latest Week 12 NFL odds, betting lines, spreads, totals & more to make the top picks throughout the 2023 NFL season. m. 5-point favorites with a 26-point implied team total. 0. 5) New York Jets at Carolina. 3% of drives, third-most in the NFL. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. The biggest disappointments last week were the Cowboys, Colts, and 49ers. Payouts will be scaled up or down depending on the size of your bet. NFL Week 5 odds are available at online sportsbooks. In fact, a reasonable strategy is to just play the defense that faces the Cardinals every week — at least until Kyler Murray returns. 44. WAS. 17. NFL Odds Week 1. It would not be unusual to see a team at -1. 9% of last week's snaps but also logged 15 adjusted opportunities and scored a touchdown. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 11 and. On Sunday Night Football, the Los Angeles Chargers (-8. Arizona Cardinals win total projection. Implied Team Totals Show Help NFL DFS Optimal Lineup Options Locked Players 0 Excluded 0 Platform Game Type Slate Stack Team Exclude OPP Defenses Yes No Save. PHI ($4,900) Week 1 of the NFL 2023 schedule is finally here and FanDuel sportsbook is offering new bettors a chance to kick off the season with a win. 5 versus Jacksonville Jaguars +6. While most are focusing on the opening night matchup between the Bills and Rams, it’s never too early to dig into the spreads and totals for other games. Tier 1 Defenses -; Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 12. The Broncos get a mini-bye after losing to Kansas City last Thursday while the Packers have had two weeks to heal up and prep for Week 7. 75 points, while the New York Jets have the lowest at 14. The NFL schedule has been released, and. While this data looked bad last week, this week it looks decent: 20 teams in Week 3 exceeded their implied totals. Spread: Falcons , Lions ; Moneyline: Falcons , Lions ; Total: The Atlanta Falcons are off to a 2-0 start after a 25-24 win over the Packers at home on Sunday. 2%), and primetime unders are 16-6. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Click here to follow Notorious on Twitter. NFL Week 1 features a full slate of 16 games and finishes with the Buffalo Bills playing their AFC East rival Jets on Monday Night Football.